About the Crypto Market Cycle Index — How It Works, Method & Data Sources

Why this exists

Most people in crypto can't easily tell where they are in the market cycle. The data is scattered across a dozen dashboards, the good analytics are built for professional traders, and social media is full of people shouting "buy now" or "it's over."

The Crypto Market Cycle Index was built to cut through that. It takes 14 established market signals, combines them into a single 0–100 score, and explains in plain language what that score has meant historically — whether the market sits closer to a cycle bottom or a market top. No hype, no predictions, no jargon you need a finance degree to read.

Who it's for

Everyday crypto holders

People who are in crypto but don't want to study charts. You get one clear number and a plain-English read on what it means.

Experienced traders

People who want the detail. Open any signal to see its live value, full history, formula and data source.

How the index works

1

Read 14 signals

Sentiment, price-trend, market-structure and on-chain signals — each measuring a different part of the cycle.

2

Put them on one scale

Every signal is mapped onto the same 0–100 cycle axis, so they can be compared fairly.

3

Take the median

The index is the median of the active signals — so no single metric can dominate or skew the result.

The median approach keeps the score honest and hard to game — there are no hidden "weights" tuned to make the past look good. We launch with 14 signals; 2 more (Bitcoin dominance & Altcoin Season) are coming once a free data source is wired in. Values before our launch are computed retrospectively with the identical formula.

What we stand for

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History, not predictions

We show what happened before. We never claim to know what happens next.

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Not financial advice

No "buy" or "sell" calls — ever. This is information to think with, not instructions.

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Open method, public data

The formula is documented and the data sources are named. Nothing is a black box.

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Free, no paywall

The index, the history and every signal are free to read.

Where the data comes from

Every number is computed from free, public sources — no paid APIs anywhere — and each signal links to its own. We don't republish anyone's data as our own: we compute our own values (including our own median Bitcoin price index from public exchange data) and show our work. The one external reading we display directly, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, is the free alternative.me feed, clearly attributed.

Public exchanges · Bitstamp · Kraken · Coinbase (our median price) DeFiLlama · stablecoins & DeFi TVL blockchain.com · on-chain (miner, hashrate, addresses) alternative.me · Crypto Fear & Greed

Frequently asked questions

It is a single 0–100 score that reads independent market signals — like the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple and stablecoin flows — to show whether crypto sits closer to a cycle bottom or a market top.

Each signal is mapped onto the same 0–100 cycle scale, then the index takes the median so no single metric dominates. It is computed from free public data and recomputed daily, locking at 00:00 UTC.

Yes. The index, history and all signals are free to view, with no paywall.

No. The site shows what has happened historically and never tells you to buy or sell. It is information, not advice — always do your own research.

Entirely from free, public sources: Bitcoin price from public exchange data (our own median index), stablecoins and DeFi TVL from DeFiLlama, and on-chain metrics from blockchain.com. No paid APIs. Every signal links to its source.

The live reading updates through the day and locks as the official daily value at 00:00 UTC, which is what enters the history.

Crypto is confusing. We turn 15 signals into one honest number.